Over the weekend Nate Silver, a statistician who has taken on Delphic significance in the political world, launched the political page on his 538 blog with the announcement that the Republicans are slight favorites to take the United States Senate. On ABC's This Week, Silver gave the Republicans a chance to pick up 11 seats.
Locally, the statistically minded Messrs Montgomery and Heidelberger have given their takes. Nationally Republicans have a new found respect for Silver whereas Democrats are suddenly challenging his statistical acumen.
I have seen little speculation about what happens if Silver is correct and Republicans get 52 or 54 Senate seats and keep the House. I'll go out on a limb with a single word: impeachment.
I have two likely scenarios. In one, the fire-breathers in the House will scream Benghazi and cover-up, IRS harassment and cover-up, executive orders were issued that we didn't like and cover-up, "we didn't get Clinton" and cover-up.
The other scenario involves a long game. Republicans will have repeated successful votes to repeal Obamacare followed by repeated vetoes. (There will be a few filibusters in the Senate, those efforts will not be serious because the Obama holds the veto pen.) Republicans will then attach repeal to a debt ceiling vote; Obama will invoke the full faith and credit clause, and Republicans will impeach.
I know Rush Limbaugh says impeachment will never happen, but that proclamation is issues in the form of a challenge; Republicans according to Limbaugh lack "political will." even as everything gets "screwed-up." There are too many safe blood-red districts. There is also an understanding, even among those who would rather breathe fire than think, that demographics and the electoral map favors Democrats or at least a Republican far too moderate for their tastes. Besides, impeachment will be much easier that trying to think up policy solutions.